Trading Talk

Episode 301 – Anti-Trend Breakout

Hi traders, in this episode we look at a simple mean reversion strategy that uses a higher timeframe to identify a trend and a lower timeframe to react quickly and trade it effectively.

This concept can form a good starting point for a mean reversion system

Watch this weeks episode to see the exact entry reasons and discover the art of anti-trend trading, a powerful strategy that thrives on identifying trend reversals. Learn how to navigate market shifts and capitalize on price fluctuations for profitable trades. Master the art of trading against the prevailing trends.

Mean Reversion – When the markets return back to the middle – ‘mean reversion’.

The Foundation: Higher Timeframe Trend Identification

To begin, we must first identify the trend using a higher timeframe. This timeframe could be daily, weekly, or even monthly, depending on your trading preferences and the assets you’re dealing with. By examining the asset’s price movement over an extended period, we gain a broader perspective on its overall direction.

During an uptrend, we can expect the asset’s price to make higher highs and higher lows, while a downtrend will be characterized by lower highs and lower lows. By pinpointing these trends, we can gain valuable insight into the asset’s long-term behavior, giving us a strong foundation for our mean reversion strategy.

The Mean Reversion Concept: Buying Low, Selling High

Now that we have identified the trend on the higher timeframe, it’s time to put the mean reversion principle into action. Mean reversion suggests that when an asset’s price deviates significantly from its historical average, there is a high probability that it will revert back to that average over time.

To take advantage of this, we turn to a lower timeframe – one that allows us to enter and exit trades quickly. A popular choice for this timeframe is the 1-hour or 4-hour chart. When the asset’s price deviates significantly from its higher timeframe trend, we look for potential reversal signals on the lower timeframe.

Entering the Trade: Timing is Key

In a mean reversion strategy, timing is of the essence. Once the asset’s price exhibits a substantial deviation from its higher timeframe trend, we search for reversal indicators on the lower timeframe.

Watch the episode to see the exact entry reasons.

When the reversal signals align, and the price appears to have bottomed out in an uptrend or peaked in a downtrend, it’s time to enter the trade. At this point, we expect the asset’s price to revert back towards its historical average on the higher timeframe, presenting us with a potentially profitable opportunity.

If you would like to learn more about creating automated trading strategies check out the Trading Talk series which has a new episode each week with different topics and concepts on popular automated trading strategies.

Why wait? Get started today.  Sign up for an account today with the Tradeview Forex broker www.tradeview.tech and start creating your own automation.

Latest Episodes

Charles Layton

Hedging

In this model we take a look at a client suggestion who is trying to build a complex hedging model.

Read More »
Charles Layton

Bitcoin Breakouts

In this episode, we are looking at Bitcoin above $100k and creating a simple breakout model can take advantage of this.

Read More »
Charles Layton

Spread Check and Trade Comments

In this episode, we create multiple functions to help build more advanced strategies, this includes a spread checking function that helps reduce trading when spreads are increased like during news time and when the markets open.

Read More »